Assessing the Impact of Tropopause Height on Orographic Precipitation Using Theory and Numerical Simulations

Nick Siler
Graduate Student
Department of Atmospheric Sciences
University of Washington
Advisers: Dale Durran and Gerard Roe

The impact of tropopause height on the dynamics of stable flow over mountains has been studied extensively for its contribution to downslope windstorms, but its impact on orographic precipitation has not been previously addressed. Here I use a combination of linear theory and numerical simulations to explore the sensitivity of orographic precipitation to variations in tropopause height. In idealized simulations of flow over both two-dimensional and three-dimensional ridges, the total amount of precipitation can vary by more than a factor of two in response to changes in tropopause height of one or two kilometers. I show that this result is related to changes primarily in the depth of windward ascent, but also in the location and strength of lee-side descent, with significant impacts on the distribution of precipitation across the range (i.e., the rain shadow effect). Using a modified version of Smith and Barstad’s linear precipitation model, I demonstrate how such changes can impact the amount and distribution of precipitation in complex terrain like the Washington Cascades. I hope to conclude with a discussion of whether and how this work might be relevant in the real world (skepticism welcome).

This seminar will be recorded and available to view via webcast at:
http://www.fin.ucar.edu/it/mms/fl-live.htm


Thursday, 6 February 2014, 3:30 PM
Refreshments 3:15 PM
NCAR-Foothills Laboratory
3450 Mitchell Lane
Bldg 2 Main Auditorium Room 1022

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Nick Siler

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1022

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Thursday, February 6, 2014 - 3:30pm