RAL Seminar
by
Pinhas Alpert
Head, Porter School for Environmental Sciences,
Dept. of Geophysical, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences,
Tel Aviv University, Israel

Friday, July 20, 2012
FL-2, Room 1001, 1:00 p.m.

This seminar will present an analysis of changes in the atmospheric water budget components over the Mediterranean and the Mid-East. Results will be shown for the climatic trends to extremes and regional modeling over the E. Mediterranean.

Precipitation predictions for the Mediterranean employing both high-resolution MRI Japanese runs and ensemble RCM model simulations both show increased interannual variability and probability of multi-year droughts.
Additional information from other climate models will improve our ability to answer questions such as “what is the probability that there will be a multi-year drought or severe heat wave in the coming decade?” and help inform our policy makers about adaptive response.

In addition, an innovative method for monitoring the atmosphere with data from the cellular communication systems will be presented.